Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.000096 0.000106 0.000117 0.000130 0.000144 0.000159 0.000176
2026-01-18 0.000081 0.000095 0.000111 0.000130 0.000153 0.000179 0.000211
2026-01-25 0.000070 0.000086 0.000105 0.000130 0.000160 0.000197 0.000245
2026-02-01 0.000061 0.000079 0.000101 0.000130 0.000168 0.000216 0.000281
2026-02-08 0.000054 0.000072 0.000096 0.000128 0.000172 0.000230 0.000314
2026-02-15 0.000048 0.000067 0.000092 0.000127 0.000178 0.000247 0.000349
2026-02-22 0.000044 0.000063 0.000089 0.000128 0.000184 0.000264 0.000388
2026-03-01 0.000040 0.000059 0.000085 0.000126 0.000188 0.000278 0.000422
2026-03-08 0.000037 0.000056 0.000084 0.000127 0.000195 0.000298 0.000467
2026-03-15 0.000035 0.000053 0.000082 0.000128 0.000201 0.000316 0.000509
2026-03-22 0.000032 0.000051 0.000079 0.000127 0.000205 0.000330 0.000548
2026-03-29 0.000030 0.000049 0.000079 0.000129 0.000214 0.000353 0.000603
2026-04-05 0.000028 0.000047 0.000077 0.000129 0.000220 0.000373 0.000655
2026-04-12 0.000026 0.000045 0.000075 0.000129 0.000225 0.000390 0.000704
2026-04-19 0.000025 0.000043 0.000073 0.000128 0.000229 0.000407 0.000755
2026-04-26 0.000023 0.000041 0.000071 0.000128 0.000234 0.000427 0.000811
2026-05-03 0.000022 0.000039 0.000069 0.000127 0.000236 0.000440 0.000857
2026-05-10 0.000020 0.000037 0.000067 0.000126 0.000240 0.000457 0.000912
2026-05-17 0.000019 0.000036 0.000066 0.000126 0.000245 0.000477 0.000975
2026-05-24 0.000018 0.000034 0.000064 0.000125 0.000247 0.000491 0.001027
2026-05-31 0.000017 0.000033 0.000063 0.000126 0.000255 0.000516 0.001105
2026-06-07 0.000016 0.000032 0.000062 0.000126 0.000260 0.000538 0.001177
2026-06-14 0.000015 0.000031 0.000061 0.000125 0.000263 0.000555 0.001239